Smart Stick
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There are a lot of different ways to go about making NFL football picks. Some people bet on their own team to win every time. Some people think their team stinks and they bet against them every time. With newspapers, magazines, ESPN, fantasy football, and all sorts of other NFL information out there, it seems like making NFL Football picks should be as easy as picking up the phone and waiting for the money to be delivered. But nothing is that easy.
One of the easiest ways to get started making NFL Football picks is by taking a look at the NFL Power Rankings. This will get you familiarized with which teams are on the rise and which have been struggling lately. For example, after NFL Week Four a few teams are firmly entrenched in the upper portion of the power rankings. The Saints, Packers, Jets and Ravens are all 3-1 and coming off big victories. So you might want to take a look at a trend like this and move in that direction.
Another good rule to follow for making NFL Football Picks is to be open to all types of bets. Don't just stick to favorites or underdogs or a team you really like or really hate. Think about other options like whether a team seems poised to score a lot of points or whether a certain quarterback will have a big day. Looking at prop lines and over/unders for games is a great way to diversify your portfolio, so to speak.
Next rule: Bet early and bet often! It may sound a little crazy, but it's true. NFL Handicappers have a tough time making lines early in the season. Honestly, who knew the Chiefs should have been favored three times this year instead of three time underdogs? So hop on the surprise team's bandwagon as soon as you can to maximize profit. Because you know that by the time NFL Week 13 rolls around, the lines will be much more of a challenge to take on.
A couple of 'don'ts' you might want to consider as well: Don't just take a team because they lost the week before. Remember, if a team loses they've been exploited in some way and the team they're playing the following week is going to see that exposed weakness and try to take advantage of it again. I know it's tough when you're sitting there saying "there's no way the 49ers are going to go 0-4! There's just no way." But don't look now because the 49ers are 0-4. Teams lose three games in a row for a lot of different reasons, but they don't lose because they're good.
Also, if a game looks to good to be true, it's okay to be a bit wary of it, it might just be. I can't tell you how many people I heard last week talking about how surprised they were that undefeated Chicago was a four point underdog to the 1-2 Giants, especially after the Giants looked so lifeless against the Titans. But no one questioned why, they just thought it was a gift from the gods. But there are no gifts in Vegas (or gods for that matter) and they were right to make the Giants the favorite. New York stomped Chicago 17-3.
That should be enough tips to get you started but if you are looking for more, feel free to search around the web for information about being a football handicapper.
Tim Manson is an avid sports fan and football enthusiast that has been moonlighting as a freelance sports writer for the past four years. Tim is also an upcoming star in the football handicapping industry where he helps Kevin Steel make NFL football picks who lives in Los Angeles, CA with his wife and two kids were he enjoys playing football as well as hiking and sailing.
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